corona scale

Phase I - The Ramp

All flags thrown. This phase completed on March 12, 2019.

Corona Scale tracks actions and outcomes that collectively determine the seriousness of Coronavirus / COVID-19 in the US. All 18 flags from this phase were thrown between January and early March 2020, tracking the coming pandemic. Phase 2 is active, tracking the CV-related actions and impact in the US. Phase 3 will track the anticipated recovery from CV in the US.

phase 1 FLAGS (18)

  • Credible doctors going public saying, "This is going to be bad."
  • Dramatic increase in infection
  • Federal directives (Pence/Trump press conference)
  • Federal government stocking up on staples
  • Federal government warnings (CDC)
  • First domestic quarantine (New Rochelle NY)
  • First US deaths from CV
  • Government saying, "Don't Panic!"
  • Growing numbers of significant event cancellations
  • Local government mobilization (e.g., San Francisco declaration of a state of emergency)
  • Media saying, "Stock up!"
  • Military deployments and call-ups
  • Military movement and positioning
  • Panic-driven food buying
  • School cancellations
  • Shutdown of a large percentate of international flights (Europe)
  • Significant stock market decline
  • Wealthy individuals moving out of US - especially to NZ