corona scale

Phase III - The Recovery

9 of 42 Coronavirus RECOVERY flags thrown - Updated: 5/3/2020

Corona Scale tracks actions and outcomes that collectively determine the seriousness of Coronavirus / COVID-19 in the US. All 18 flags from Phase 1 were thrown in Jan-Feb 2020, tracking the coming pandemic. Phase 2 is active, tracking the impact of the pandemic. This page (Phase 3) tracks the recovery from Coronavirus in the US.

healthcare (10)

  • Hospital ships no longer needed (confirmed - NYC)
  • Coronavirus tests generally available for anyone who wants/needs one
  • Solution found: Coronavirus vaccine available, effective treatment found, or significant benign mutation occurs
  • Elective surgeries are broadly available, particularly in areas with high concentrations of Coronavirus
  • Healthcare practitioners return to normal working schedules
  • Healthcare workers return from furlough/layoffs caused by Coronavirus-related actions and policies
  • Hospital beds are available to the vast majority of the populace
  • Oxygen, masks, respirators, and ventilators are generally available
  • Treating Coronavirus patients becomes routine
  • Tent hospitals deployed to treat Coronavirus patients shut down (pending - Michigan)

government (16)

  • Broad reopening of states (confirmed 5/3)
  • Federal government recalling large numbers of workers (confirmed 4/26 - IRS)
  • State parks reopen (confirmed 5/3 - New Jersey)
  • US Senate reopens - back in session (confirmed 5/3)
  • Canadian border reopened
  • Civil liberties reestablished
  • Elections held broadly and openly
  • First whole-state quarantine lifted
  • Government assemblies resume normal operation (e.g., no quarantines)
  • Government updates on Coronavirus become unimportant
  • Government-ordered curfews lifted
  • Last whole-state quarantine lifted
  • Mexican border reopened
  • Police resume enforcing standard laws / make arrests for low-level crimes
  • Stay-in-place orders removed (broadly)
  • US House of Representatives reopens

impact (22)

  • Businesses restarting home services (confirmed 4/20 - Best Buy)
  • Citizens emerge from lockdown (confirmed 5/3 - New York)
  • Dog kennel empty - all dogs adopted (confirmed 5/3 - Florida)
  • Local businesses reopen (confirmed 4/24 - Texas)
  • Mass reopening of retails stores (chains – Apple, Nike, etc.) - pending
  • Americans are free to travel to nearly all countries
  • Business bankruptcies and closures decline
  • Businesses restart the holding of customer events (e.g., user conferences)
  • Cruises reemerge as popular (incrementally – more people willing to book cruises)
  • Disneyworld and Disneyland reopen
  • Elderly people are encouraged to interact with others - it is safe to do so
  • Employees return to office environments at scale
  • First day with no Coronavirus deaths in the US
  • Large events reemerge (e.g., religious, concerts, graduations, weddings, conferences, etc.)
  • Large numbers of people coming out of self-isolation
  • Local retail establishments open at scale (not chains)
  • Schools reopen at scale
  • Sporting events reemerge
  • Stock market increases 50% from its Coronavirus-induced low
  • US GDP reverses the Coronavirus decline and grows
  • US unemployment decreases
  • US-based companies begin repurchasing their shares at scale

infrastructure (3)

  • All international air travel reestablished
  • Domestic air travel increases significantly
  • Food and toiletries generally available